Public sector net borrowing hit the second-highest February level since monthly records began in 1993, reflecting seasonal shifts after January’s record surplus.
For families here in Kent already feeling the pinch from higher living costs, February’s borrowing figures offer a mixed picture of the nation’s finances. The government borrowed £14.3 billion last month – £2.2 billion more than February 2025 and the second-highest February borrowing since records began in 1993.
But this spike comes with important context that affects how we should read these numbers.
The January Windfall Effect
February’s borrowing jump follows an extraordinary January performance. The government recorded a £30.4 billion budget surplus – meaning it took in more than it spent – marking the largest monthly surplus since records began. This windfall came largely from self-assessment tax payments and people rushing to sell assets before planned tax increases kicked in.
Combined self-assessed income and capital gains tax receipts hit £46.4 billion in January 2026, some £10.5 billion more than the same month last year. Much of this increase came from individuals and companies bringing forward asset sales to avoid higher tax rates.
The Bigger Financial Picture
February typically shows higher borrowing than January due to the timing of public spending and benefit payments. It’s a bit like household budgeting – some months you receive windfalls, others see bigger outgoings.
Looking at the financial year so far, total borrowing stands at £112.1 billion for the period to January 2026. That’s actually £14.6 billion lower than the same ten-month period last year – an 11.5% reduction. Yet it still represents the fifth-highest April to January borrowing on record.
Public sector net debt as a share of the economy sits at 92.9% of GDP, down from 95.0% a year earlier. The Office for Budget Responsibility projects borrowing will fall from 5.2% of GDP in 2024-25 to 4.3% this year, then gradually decline to 1.6% by 2030-31.
Why These Numbers Matter
These borrowing levels directly affect the government’s ability to fund public services that Kent residents rely on daily. Higher borrowing can constrain spending on local infrastructure projects, NHS services through Kent and Medway ICB, and support programmes for businesses.
The figures also influence Bank of England interest rate decisions. With rates currently at 3.75%, borrowing trends help determine whether rates might rise or fall – affecting mortgage payments for homeowners from Canterbury to Folkestone and business loans for Kent’s many small enterprises.
Source: @ONS
Key Takeaways
- February 2026 borrowing of £14.3 billion was the second-highest February since 1993, but follows January’s record £30.4 billion surplus
- Year-to-date borrowing is down 11.5% compared to 2025, though still historically elevated at fifth-highest on record
- Government debt as share of economy has fallen to 92.9% of GDP, with borrowing projected to decline much over coming years
What This Means for Kent Residents
Kent households should expect continued pressure on public spending as the government balances reducing borrowing with maintaining services. Local infrastructure projects and business support schemes may face tighter budgets, potentially affecting everything from road improvements to small business grants. However, the overall downward trend in borrowing could eventually support lower interest rates, benefiting mortgage holders and businesses seeking loans across the county.
