ONS labour market data for November 2025 to January 2026 shows unemployment climbing to 5.2%, with young workers hit hardest.
The latest labour market figures from the Office for National Statistics paint a sobering picture for job seekers across Kent and the wider UK, with unemployment rising to 5.2 per cent in the three months to January 2026.
The data, published on 19 March 2026 and covering the period from November 2025 to January 2026, reveals a labour market under growing strain. For Kent residents already feeling the squeeze from rising living costs, these numbers carry real weight.
Young Workers Hit Hardest
The sharpest pain is being felt by workers under 25. According to ONS data published in February 2026, youth unemployment has climbed to around 14 per cent — the highest level in five years.
Several factors appear to be driving this trend. Employers report growing caution around hiring junior staff, with the incoming Employment Rights Bill and minimum wage increases complicating the economics of entry-level recruitment. At the same time, artificial intelligence adoption is reportedly reducing demand for some junior positions, according to industry surveys.
The result, according to recruitment industry data, is a slump in graduate hiring across many sectors.
Mixed Signals from Employers
Yet the picture is not uniformly bleak. According to Redline Group’s UK labour market analysis for March 2026, permanent placements fell only slightly in February — described as the weakest decline since March 2023. Job vacancies, which had been sliding since mid-2022, appear to be levelling off, though the ONS cautions that estimates remain subject to revision.
Engineering and technology sectors continue to buck the broader trend. These remain among the few areas showing genuine growth in demand, with starting salaries climbing as competition for skilled workers intensifies.
But temporary and contract work dipped again in February, according to recruitment industry reports, as organisations delay short-term hiring decisions amid economic uncertainty.
What the Data Shows
The ONS reported that payrolled employees showed an increase of 6,000 between December 2025 and January 2026, suggesting some stabilisation. However, early estimates for February 2026 point to a further fall of 11,000, according to Retail Economics analysis of the ONS data.
Regular wage growth, excluding bonuses, slowed to 3.8 per cent in the three months to January 2026, down from 4.1 per cent in the previous period, according to the ONS. While wages are still outpacing inflation, the downward trajectory suggests the labour market is cooling.
Most firms appear to have managed headcount reductions through natural attrition rather than formal redundancies. The slower wage growth could prompt earlier interest rate cuts from the Bank of England if the trend continues, though no official forecast has been confirmed.
Key Takeaways
- UK unemployment reached 5.2% in the three months to January 2026, according to ONS
- Youth unemployment climbed to around 14%, the highest in five years, per February 2026 ONS data
- Engineering and technology sectors show resilience with continued hiring demand
- Regular pay growth slowed to 3.8%, down from 4.1% in the previous quarter
- Payrolled employees rose by 6,000 in January, though February estimates suggest a further decline
What This Means for Kent Residents
Kent’s young people face a particularly tough job market, with entry-level positions increasingly scarce outside technical sectors. Workers with engineering or technology skills will find genuine opportunities and strong wage growth. For those in other sectors, the rising number of job seekers means greater competition for available roles. Kent residents concerned about employment prospects can access support through the National Careers Service on 0800 100 900, or visit their local Jobcentre Plus for advice on training and job search assistance.
