The Confederation of British Industry’s latest survey reveals rising inflation expectations as manufacturers brace for higher costs through summer 2026.
The conveyor belt at a Medway manufacturing plant runs a little slower these days. Raw materials cost more, energy bills have climbed, and the pressure is mounting on factory floors across Kent and beyond.
This reality now has official backing from the Confederation of British Industry, whose quarterly Industrial Trends Survey paints a picture of mounting economic strain. The organisation announced that average costs rose at an elevated pace in the quarter to April 2026, with worse to come.
Storm Clouds Gathering
But April’s figures represent just the beginning. The CBI’s survey of manufacturers warns that costs growth should accelerate further in the quarter to July 2026. Both domestic and export selling price inflation are tipped to pick up during the same period.
The timing couldn’t be more challenging for UK businesses already handling a complex economic landscape. With CPI inflation sitting at 2.6% for the 12 months to March 2026, according to the Office for National Statistics, the additional cost pressures signal potential headwinds ahead.
Manufacturing firms have shown resilience, with the sector’s PMI reaching 50.9 in April 2026 – indicating slight expansion despite rising input costs, S&P Global data shows. Yet this growth comes at a price that many businesses are struggling to absorb.
The Energy Equation
Energy costs remain a particular burden. Department for Business and Trade figures reveal average business energy costs climbed 12% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026. For manufacturers in Kent’s industrial heartlands – from the chemical plants around Dartford to automotive suppliers in Medway – these increases bite deep into already thin margins.
The CBI’s Industrial Trends Survey covers the full spectrum of manufacturing challenges: output, investment, exports, orders, stocks, and prices. Each metric tells part of a story about an economy under strain.
Export-focused businesses face a double squeeze. Rising domestic costs coincide with intensified price competition in overseas markets, above all affecting Kent firms that rely heavily on Dover’s port infrastructure for European trade.
Policy Responses Take Shape
Different voices are calling for different solutions. The CBI argues that persistent cost pressures signal a need for supportive monetary policy to avoid stifling growth. The Bank of England, meanwhile, must balance inflation risks against the prospect of slowing growth, potentially maintaining steady base rates.
Business groups including Kent Invicta Chamber of Commerce continue pressing for government intervention on energy bills, above all to help small and medium enterprises weather the storm.
Source: @CBItweets
Key Takeaways
- Manufacturing costs rose sharply in the quarter to April 2026, with further acceleration expected through July
- Both domestic and export price inflation are forecast to increase in the coming months
- Energy costs remain a major burden, rising 12% year-on-year for businesses in early 2026
What This Means for Kent Residents
Kent households should prepare for potential price increases on manufactured goods as businesses pass rising costs to consumers. Local manufacturers in automotive and chemical sectors around Medway and Dartford face particular pressure from higher energy and raw material costs, which could affect employment levels. Kent County Council’s business support services advise local firms to monitor CBI updates for potential grant eligibility on energy efficiency upgrades that could help offset rising operational costs.


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